Its perfectly simple, heres a pictorial.
Mr Wilkie proposed restrictions on poker machines. He was extremely sincere in his opposition to them.
This is Julia Gillard, she was extremely sincere in wishing to form government in Australia after the last election.
This is Julia Gillard sincerely forming government with the Support of Mr Wilkie, who believed he had secured a sincere promise of pokie reform in exchange for Ms Gillard securing power.
Then something happened to change everything…
The ALP owns a number of the clubs that in turn, own a number of pokie machines, State ALP received hundreds of thousands in donations every election from these clubs.
Now Julia is left honouring an agreement she feels little or nothing about, if she does this state ALP branches will lose a huge source of funding. State ALP may be in sincere “discussions” about this..
So its perfectly simple, to keep a promise she made which will cause her party financial pain, and make another “Kevin” challenge inevitable, or burn Wilkie.
Wilkie is toast.
From the Australian, a bit of vital background…
“But Mr Hatch told The Australian Online he didn’t see how the Canberra Labor Clubs group, which donated about $600,000 to the ACT branch of the Labor Party in 2009-10, could isolate the compensation from other revenue sources.”